It's just a little sad when Baron Blade, against a strong team, beats you. it's like.... getting beaten up by a duck. And having it filmed.
That duck caught me by suprise and you know it.
I just did a game against advanced Voss where he played two Forced Deployments on his turn. Too bad for him he was at twenty health and I had way more than that coming his way that round.
I had 2 Forced Deploys come out in two turns with a ton of minions (including all the guards) in the trash. Visionary brain burned to avoid the first, when the second came out I was pretty pleased.
Adding another story:
I got a hand of all 4 Oblivions, and in the same game played Lash to reveal Lash to reveal Lash. Also in the same game, our Wraith played 3 Inventions off of each other.
And Voss playing back to back Deployments is always the worst thing.
Not really, if you can stall through the subsequent Forced Deployments so that they trigger to no effect. I like having Haka Savage Mana all the minions and underlings whenever possible.
Lost to Dawn, she was at 4 hp and no citizens in play, flipped back to her front side.
Pillars came out and played Channel the Eclipse, which immediately played a second Channel, then Citizen Truth.
Normal play was Return, which then pulled Anvil, who pulled Hammer. Start of first hero turn played Aurora.
Man I hate pillars of hercules.
This was a game after Voss played his ships to start the game, round 3 we almost had the flagship down when mars base played weaponry, Voss played psy-weaver and flagship pulled frosthound for 14 damage to each hero.
(25*24*23)/23 = 600
The odds of a particular card being in any particular place in Baron Blade's deck is 1 in 25- then for a specific card to follow after is 1 in 24, and then another specific card is 1 in 23. However, since there are twenty three possible positions for the first card (it can't be one of the bottom two on the deck for this to happen), that means there's twenty three different ways to get the outcome needed, so you then divide by 23, effectively ending with 25*24 or simply 600. HOWEVER, since Baron Blade starts with a Mobile Defense Platform in play, his deck effectively has 24 cards, meaning that we should really be looking at:
(24*23*22)/22 = 552
So the final odds we come at are 1 in 552, which while highly unlikely, isn't all that rare in statistical terms.
We can figure out Summon Staff's odds in a similar manner:
(40*39*38*37)/37 = 59280
But the problem with this is that because I don't know if you actually drew them all in a row, the real odds are probably much more common... And you clearly had at least two of them in your hand to begin with.
Not quite; those are the odds of having Hasten Doom A, then HDB, then HDC, but the three cards can be in any order, so multiply by six (321) for a 1 in 92 chance.
Those are the odds that any given shuffling of BB's deck would have three Hasten Doom's in a row. I think a more precise question of interest, though, is what is the likelihood that one would see three Hasten Doom's in a row in a game. This is different than asking whether or not the deck itself has three Hasten Doom's in a row, because one typically does not see the entire deck during a game.
The odds of SEEING three Hasten Doom's in a row, then are likely a bit better than 1/92, because the parts of the deck that cannot have three Hasten Dooms in a row (starting with the second to last or last card) are the least likely parts of the deck to be seen. Further, if we include the likelihood of seeing three Hasten Dooms in a row after Baron Blade flips, the odds improve further, as after flipping all three Mobile Defense Platforms are removed. Even more importantly, we're now seeing into two different shuffles in the same game, which my intuition suggests would increase the odds on the order of about 25%. Admittedly, if we're considering these sorts of things, we also need to consider that we might see the first or even second Hasten Doom of a triplet that are consecutve in the shuffle without seeing all three.
Grossly speculating, therefore, I'd say the actual likelihood of seeing three Hasten Dooms in a row is more like 1 in 70.
Now, consider the likelihood of seeing any card in Baron Blade's deck three times in a row. Not sure how many cards are in that deck three times, but I bet the odds get considerably better, perhaps to as good as 1 in 50 or 1 in 40.
Eeh, I'm not sure I agree with you. Given that a game of Sentinels (particularly against the Baron) will last about (plucking a number out of thin air here) eight rounds (conservative? wildly overestimating? who knows), and Hasten Doom is the only card that plays an extra card in his deck, we'd need Hasten Doom to be one of the top, say, four cards of his deck either pre-flip or post-flip. So, (3*2*1)*4/(24*23*22)+ (3*2*1)*4/(22*21*20)= 0.00457, or 1 in 218, which means even worse odds.
Good point!
I forgot about that, but you are right sir or madame.
I had that happen twice in the same game yesterday.
When I play Ambuscade on the tabletop, I shuffle his deck underneath the table so that there's a normal chance of that happening.
I try to do that, but I can actually tell where the traps are by touch.
I always cut the deck after a shuffle.
Wager Master gets more foreign cards in the deck than Ambuscade has traps available.
There's a curve to some of my decks, and Ambuscade is one of them- this makes it very obvious where the trap are, unfortunately.
Not nearly as bad as Sky Scraper or Captain Cosmic were in that regard though... Not sure how those two got so bent. And the strange thing is, my other WotC decks weren't like that at all.
I think all of my WotC cards were pretty severly curved.